Oil prices fell in the later session of Monday after initially crossing the $100 per barrel mark as the escalating Iran war by the United States and Israel squeezed world energy supplies, boosted the Dollar, and dampened hopes of interest-rate cuts.
Earlier, Brent crude futures climbed to a high of $119.50 per barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $117.48 a barrel. However, it dropped later after US President Donald Trump suggested that the US conflict with Iran could soon wind down.
Data gathered by Business Post showed that the price of the Brent crude grade dropped 5.4 per cent to $87.68 per barrel, and the US WTI lost 7.4 per cent to trade at $84.21 a barrel.
President Trump is expected to review a set of options to tame oil prices, reflecting White House worries that the surge in oil prices will hurt US businesses and consumers ahead of the November midterm elections, when the ruling Republicans are hoping to retain control of Congress.
Reuters reported that the US is discussing with counterparts from the Group of Seven major economies a possible joint release of crude oil from strategic reserves. It also reported they are weighing other options, including restricting US exports, intervening in oil futures markets, waiving some federal taxes and lifting requirements under a US law called the Jones Act that domestic fuel must move only on US-flagged ships.
The Trump administration officials are also exercising diplomatic pressure on Gulf allies to help restore production and shipping of oil.
Market analysts have warned that Gulf producers are only able to sustain normal production for roughly 25 days if the Strait is completely blocked.
The expanding US-Israeli war with Iran led some major Middle Eastern oil producers to cut supplies due to fears of prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.
Oil-driven inflation fears and delayed rate-cut expectations likely strengthened US yields and the Dollar, outweighing safe-haven demand.
The recent 10-day conflict in Iran is beginning to ripple through the global aviation industry, threatening what had been a strong outlook for aircraft demand.
JP Morgan has warned that Iran’s oil production could be slashed in half and oil exports could virtually stall if the US-Israel seize Iran’s Kharg Island, worsening the ongoing global oil shock. The island is regarded as the backbone of Iran’s oil infrastructure, handling approximately 90 per cent of its crude exports.