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Australia declares strong El Nino in tropical Pacific as risks to agriculture loom

2026 05 23T060826Z 1607309753 RC2TELAATQ26 RTRMADP 3 AUSTRALIA WEATHER

A woman walks around Sydney harbour as rain falls across the city, in Sydney, Australia on May 23, 2026.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

Australia’s weather ‌bureau on Tuesday (June 16, 2026) said an ​El Nino event ⁠is under way in the tropical Pacific, with atmospheric indicators ‌such as trade winds, pressure and cloud patterns ‌aligning with the ‌weather ⁠phenomenon.

“Forecasts are pointing ⁠towards a strong to very strong El Nino event, based on ​the extent ‌of warming in the central tropical Pacific,” the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said. El ‌Nino is a ​periodic warming of sea surface temperatures ⁠in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

The weather pattern ‌is particularly damaging to Australia as it impacts agricultural production in the country — among the world’s largest exporters of ‌wheat, sugar and beef. One ​of the strongest such patterns occurred in ⁠2015 and 2016, triggering widespread ⁠drought and leading to reduced grain and ‌oilseed output.