Selling price inflation reached its lowest level in over six years in February 2026, as the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) settled at 53.2 points compared with 49.7 points in January, according to Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria, which takes the readings.
In the month under review, the Nigerian private sector returned to growth after a muted start to 2026, with a rise in new orders, triggered by an accelerated increase in business activity.
It was observed that the contraction in selling price inflation was influenced by an improvement in the strength of the currency.
“After the dip seen in January, the Nigerian private sector returned to growth, with the headline PMI settling higher at 53.2 points in February from 49.7 in January. This was in line with higher customer demand, which drove higher new product offerings at competitive pricing.
“Accordingly, output (55.8 vs January: 50.2) regained momentum in February while new orders (55.5 vs January: 49.9) also increased markedly in the month. Notably, the wholesale and retail sector, which had dipped in January, returned to growth, thereby ensuring that all four monitored sectors by the survey increased in February,” the Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Mr Muyiwa Oni, commented.
“Local currency appreciation helped to support softer input and output prices in February, as the Naira has been trading below N1,400 against the USD consistently since 29 January,” he added.
“Strengthening external account, higher offshore FX flows, and improvement in remittances continue to support higher FX supplies with the CBN also stepping in by buying USD in the FX market to moderate the pace of local currency appreciation,” he further stated.
Mr Oni projected that likely lower interest rates in line with lower inflation and exchange rate stabilisation should support private consumption and business investments in 2026.
“Because of these factors, we see more sectors contributing to real GDP growth rate in 2026 compared to 2025, likely translating to an improvement in the quality of lives of the citizens compared to the last two years when the citizens witnessed the full negative impact of the government’s flagship reforms,” he submitted.