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Crude Oil Steady Despite Rising Iran War Risks, Shipping Disruption

Utapate crude oil blend

Crude oil prices were largely unchanged on Wednesday as escalating US and ​Israel strikes against Iran widened regional tensions and halted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude was at $81.40 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 10 cents or 0.1 per cent to trade at $74.66 per barrel.

Despite not much movement in midweek, analysts say prices remain elevated as markets grapple with the prospect of a prolonged ​war and lingering supply disruptions.

The US government has signalled a four- to five-week campaign, but Iran ​is seeking to regionalise the conflict, and the crucial Strait of Hormuz chokepoint is effectively shut.

The New York Times reported that operatives from Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence signalled openness to ​the US Central Intelligence Agency to talks on ending the war.

On Wednesday, US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth said America was winning the war against Iran and that the US military could fight as long as needed.

While all other options are being explored, forces from both the US and Israel have struck targets across Iran, prompting Iranian retaliatory strikes against energy infrastructure in a ​region that accounts for just under a third of global oil production.

Iraq, the second-largest crude producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), has cut ​output by nearly 1.5 million barrels a day due to storage limits and the lack of an export route.

The US said it was working on plans to secure the ​Strait of Hormuz to ensure safety for ​oil tankers amid the war ⁠with Iran.

President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the country’s Navy could begin escorting oil tankers through the strait if necessary. He added that he had ordered the US International Development Finance Corporation to provide political risk insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade in the Gulf.

Meanwhile, countries and companies have begun seeking alternative routes ​and supplies of crude. India and Indonesia said they were looking for other supplies, while some Chinese refineries ​were shutting or moving up ⁠maintenance plans.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that crude stocks rose by 3.5 million barrels in the last week to their highest in three and a half years.

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